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(updated 13th January 2004)

SANTA CRUZ, CA – Scientists have filled in key piece of global climate picture for a period of 55 millions years ago that is considered one of the most abrupt and extreme episodes of global warming in Earth’s history, according to a University of California, Santa Cruz, professor. 

The new results from an analysis of sediment cores from the ocean floor are consistent with theoretical predictions of how Earth’s climate would respond to rising concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, says James Zachos, professor of Earth’s sciences at the university. 

The researchers analyzed sediments deposited on the ocean floor during a period known as the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum, when a massive release of heat-trapping greenhouse gases is thought to have triggered a runaway process of global warming. Climate theory predicts that the increase in green house gases would have caused temperatures to rise all over the planet, with greater increases in sea surface temperatures at high latitudes than at low latitudes. 

The research provides important backing for the climate models that scientists are using to predict the effects of the current rise in atmospheric carbon dioxide due to industrial emissions, Zachos said. “The predictions from the models seem to be consistent with the geologic record, so I’d say greenhouse climate theory is alive and well,” he said. “People have raised questions about how accurate these models are in terms of handling heat transport in response to rising greenhouse gases, but this study indicates that climate people have got it rights or close to that.” 

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